The tight polling averages between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico, with recent surveys showing margins of 1-4 points, sustain broad uncertainty in trader assessments of total votes cast on November 3. This competitiveness drives parallel mobilization by both campaigns and allied groups, with combined outside spending already surpassing $35 million, potentially lifting participation above historical midterm baselines in a state where suburban and Hispanic voter blocs remain fluid. National midterm dynamics and early voting access further complicate projections across the provided ranges. Any late shifts in enthusiasm gaps or weather on election day could separate the bins by altering overall engagement levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato10,4M-10,8M 44%
10,8M-11,2M 44%
9,2M-9,6M 43%
<8M 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<8M
42%
8M-8,4M
38%
8,4M-8,8M
38%
8,8M-9,2M
41%
9,2M-9,6M
43%
9,6M-10M
42%
10M-10,4M
42%
10,4M-10,8M
44%
10,8M-11,2M
44%
11,2M+
42%
10,4M-10,8M 44%
10,8M-11,2M 44%
9,2M-9,6M 43%
<8M 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<8M
$0 Vol.
42%
8M-8,4M
$0 Vol.
38%
8,4M-8,8M
$0 Vol.
38%
8,8M-9,2M
$0 Vol.
41%
9,2M-9,6M
$0 Vol.
43%
9,6M-10M
$0 Vol.
42%
10M-10,4M
$0 Vol.
42%
10,4M-10,8M
$0 Vol.
44%
10,8M-11,2M
$0 Vol.
44%
11,2M+
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight polling averages between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico, with recent surveys showing margins of 1-4 points, sustain broad uncertainty in trader assessments of total votes cast on November 3. This competitiveness drives parallel mobilization by both campaigns and allied groups, with combined outside spending already surpassing $35 million, potentially lifting participation above historical midterm baselines in a state where suburban and Hispanic voter blocs remain fluid. National midterm dynamics and early voting access further complicate projections across the provided ranges. Any late shifts in enthusiasm gaps or weather on election day could separate the bins by altering overall engagement levels.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight polling averages between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico, with recent surveys showing margins of 1-4 points, sustain broad uncertainty in trader assessments of total votes cast on November 3. This competitiveness drives parallel mobilization by both campaigns and allied groups, with combined outside spending already surpassing $35 million, potentially lifting participation above historical midterm baselines in a state where suburban and Hispanic voter blocs remain fluid. National midterm dynamics and early voting access further complicate projections across the provided ranges. Any late shifts in enthusiasm gaps or weather on election day could separate the bins by altering overall engagement levels.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight polling averages between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico, with recent surveys showing margins of 1-4 points, sustain broad uncertainty in trader assessments of total votes cast on November 3. This competitiveness drives parallel mobilization by both campaigns and allied groups, with combined outside spending already surpassing $35 million, potentially lifting participation above historical midterm baselines in a state where suburban and Hispanic voter blocs remain fluid. National midterm dynamics and early voting access further complicate projections across the provided ranges. Any late shifts in enthusiasm gaps or weather on election day could separate the bins by altering overall engagement levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore della Florida sarà compreso tra 7.000.000 e 7.250.000?
44%
Sì
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore della Louisiana sarà compreso tra 1.300.000 e 1.400.000?
44%
Sì
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore della Carolina del Nord sarà inferiore a 3.500.000?
44%
Sì
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