WTI crude oil spot holds near $102 per barrel, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure, shuttering 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output since April. The EIA's latest weekly report for the week ending May 8 confirmed a 4.3 million barrel US inventory drawdown—surpassing expectations—aligning with STEO projections of 8.5 million b/d global depletion in Q2 2026 to sustain Brent near $106/bbl through June. OPEC+'s modest 206,000 b/d May output hike offsets some tightness, amid trimmed 2026 demand growth to 1.17 million b/d. Backwardation in futures signals near-term supply constraints; upcoming EIA releases (May 20) and June OPEC+ meeting will shape trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,369,945 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
3%
↑ $140
5%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
21%
↑ $115
34%
↑ $110
52%
↑ 105 $
70%
↓ $95
82%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
33%
↓ $80
14%
↓ $70
5%
↓ 60$
2%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
$15,369,945 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
3%
↑ $140
5%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
21%
↑ $115
34%
↑ $110
52%
↑ 105 $
70%
↓ $95
82%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
33%
↓ $80
14%
↓ $70
5%
↓ 60$
2%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil spot holds near $102 per barrel, reflecting a hefty geopolitical risk premium from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure, shuttering 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output since April. The EIA's latest weekly report for the week ending May 8 confirmed a 4.3 million barrel US inventory drawdown—surpassing expectations—aligning with STEO projections of 8.5 million b/d global depletion in Q2 2026 to sustain Brent near $106/bbl through June. OPEC+'s modest 206,000 b/d May output hike offsets some tightness, amid trimmed 2026 demand growth to 1.17 million b/d. Backwardation in futures signals near-term supply constraints; upcoming EIA releases (May 20) and June OPEC+ meeting will shape trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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