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icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
NUOVO

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<432k

$0 Vol.

14%

432 - 434k

$78 Vol.

19%

434 - 436k

$78 Vol.

24%

436 - 438k

$87 Vol.

25%

438 - 440k

$0 Vol.

17%

440 - 442k

$0 Vol.

13%

442 - 445k

$40 Vol.

14%

>445k

$37 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent US housing market data, including modest monthly gains in major indices amid persistently high mortgage rates near 7%, are driving the closely matched trader sentiment around the 434k–438k range for the median home value on May 31. Elevated borrowing costs have slowed buyer activity and price momentum, while constrained inventory continues to provide underlying support and limit downside risks. This balance creates competitive dynamics among the leading bins, with differentiation hinging on the precise final reading from sources such as the Zillow Home Value Index and any last-minute shifts in seasonal demand or regional price variations. Upcoming inflation and labor market releases could further influence rate expectations, adding to the uncertainty priced into these tightly contested outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volume
$319
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent US housing market data, including modest monthly gains in major indices amid persistently high mortgage rates near 7%, are driving the closely matched trader sentiment around the 434k–438k range for the median home value on May 31. Elevated borrowing costs have slowed buyer activity and price momentum, while constrained inventory continues to provide underlying support and limit downside risks. This balance creates competitive dynamics among the leading bins, with differentiation hinging on the precise final reading from sources such as the Zillow Home Value Index and any last-minute shifts in seasonal demand or regional price variations. Upcoming inflation and labor market releases could further influence rate expectations, adding to the uncertainty priced into these tightly contested outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Volume
$319
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

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Domande frequenti

"What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "436 - 438k" a 25%, seguito da "434 - 436k" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 4, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" è "436 - 438k" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "434 - 436k" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.