Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale continente vincerà la Coppa del Mondo FIFA 2026?
Quale continente vincerà la Coppa del Mondo FIFA 2026?
Europa 73%
Sud America 21%
Africa 3.6%
Asia 2.9%
$2,225,248 Vol.
$2,225,248 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sud America
21%
Africa
4%
Asia
3%
Nord America
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 73%
Sud America 21%
Africa 3.6%
Asia 2.9%
$2,225,248 Vol.
$2,225,248 Vol.
Europa
$161,653 Vol.
73%
Sud America
$230,728 Vol.
21%
Africa
$1,013,914 Vol.
4%
Asia
$270,301 Vol.
3%
Nord America
$243,571 Vol.
2%
Oceania
$305,582 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,225,248Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,225,248Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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