**In the 2026 Senate cycle, roughly a dozen races are rated competitive by outlets such as the Cook Political Report, with several polling within low single digits as of mid-August.** Key battlegrounds include Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Ohio (Husted vs. Brown), Michigan (open seat: El-Sayed vs. Rogers), Iowa (open: Hinson vs. Turek), Texas (Paxton vs. Talarico), and North Carolina (open: Whatley vs. Cooper). These contests are shaped by a Democratic-leaning generic ballot average of about six points, multiple Republican retirements creating open seats, recent primary results that finalized nominees, and state-specific candidate matchups in Trump-won territory. Recent rating upgrades for Texas and Iowa to toss-up status, alongside tight polls in Alaska and Michigan, have heightened attention to outcomes that could fall inside a 1% margin. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with late-cycle polling shifts and turnout in swing states as primary variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
3 nov 2026
Virginia
50%
Colorado
50%
Montana
50%
New Mexico
50%
Georgia
50%
Minnesota
50%
Texas
50%
Maine
50%
Michigan
50%
Iowa
50%
Alaska
50%
Ohio (Special)
50%
New Hampshire
50%
Nebraska
50%
Florida (Special)
50%
North Carolina
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Virginia
$0 Vol.
50%
Colorado
$0 Vol.
50%
Montana
$0 Vol.
50%
New Mexico
$0 Vol.
50%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
50%
Minnesota
$0 Vol.
50%
Texas
$0 Vol.
50%
Maine
$0 Vol.
50%
Michigan
$0 Vol.
50%
Iowa
$0 Vol.
50%
Alaska
$0 Vol.
50%
Ohio (Special)
$0 Vol.
50%
New Hampshire
$0 Vol.
50%
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
50%
Florida (Special)
$0 Vol.
50%
North Carolina
$0 Vol.
50%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**In the 2026 Senate cycle, roughly a dozen races are rated competitive by outlets such as the Cook Political Report, with several polling within low single digits as of mid-August.** Key battlegrounds include Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Ohio (Husted vs. Brown), Michigan (open seat: El-Sayed vs. Rogers), Iowa (open: Hinson vs. Turek), Texas (Paxton vs. Talarico), and North Carolina (open: Whatley vs. Cooper). These contests are shaped by a Democratic-leaning generic ballot average of about six points, multiple Republican retirements creating open seats, recent primary results that finalized nominees, and state-specific candidate matchups in Trump-won territory. Recent rating upgrades for Texas and Iowa to toss-up status, alongside tight polls in Alaska and Michigan, have heightened attention to outcomes that could fall inside a 1% margin. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with late-cycle polling shifts and turnout in swing states as primary variables.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**In the 2026 Senate cycle, roughly a dozen races are rated competitive by outlets such as the Cook Political Report, with several polling within low single digits as of mid-August.** Key battlegrounds include Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Ohio (Husted vs. Brown), Michigan (open seat: El-Sayed vs. Rogers), Iowa (open: Hinson vs. Turek), Texas (Paxton vs. Talarico), and North Carolina (open: Whatley vs. Cooper). These contests are shaped by a Democratic-leaning generic ballot average of about six points, multiple Republican retirements creating open seats, recent primary results that finalized nominees, and state-specific candidate matchups in Trump-won territory. Recent rating upgrades for Texas and Iowa to toss-up status, alongside tight polls in Alaska and Michigan, have heightened attention to outcomes that could fall inside a 1% margin. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with late-cycle polling shifts and turnout in swing states as primary variables.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**In the 2026 Senate cycle, roughly a dozen races are rated competitive by outlets such as the Cook Political Report, with several polling within low single digits as of mid-August.** Key battlegrounds include Alaska (Sullivan vs. Peltola), Maine (Collins vs. Jackson), Ohio (Husted vs. Brown), Michigan (open seat: El-Sayed vs. Rogers), Iowa (open: Hinson vs. Turek), Texas (Paxton vs. Talarico), and North Carolina (open: Whatley vs. Cooper). These contests are shaped by a Democratic-leaning generic ballot average of about six points, multiple Republican retirements creating open seats, recent primary results that finalized nominees, and state-specific candidate matchups in Trump-won territory. Recent rating upgrades for Texas and Iowa to toss-up status, alongside tight polls in Alaska and Michigan, have heightened attention to outcomes that could fall inside a 1% margin. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with late-cycle polling shifts and turnout in swing states as primary variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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