This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market shows subdued implied probabilities across all outcomes—Microsoft leading at around 7-9%, followed by Walmart and others below 5%—reflecting the platform's January 2026 closure of a U.S. joint venture deal that averted a federal ban without a outright sale to a single entity. Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi-based MGX each secured 15% stakes in the new TikTok USDS entity, with ByteDance holding under 20%, satisfying national security concerns via majority American ownership and data controls. No fresh bids or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past 30 days amid stabilized operations; traders eye the market's late 2026 resolution for any surprise merger announcements or ownership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market shows subdued implied probabilities across all outcomes—Microsoft leading at around 7-9%, followed by Walmart and others below 5%—reflecting the platform's January 2026 closure of a U.S. joint venture deal that averted a federal ban without a outright sale to a single entity. Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi-based MGX each secured 15% stakes in the new TikTok USDS entity, with ByteDance holding under 20%, satisfying national security concerns via majority American ownership and data controls. No fresh bids or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past 30 days amid stabilized operations; traders eye the market's late 2026 resolution for any surprise merger announcements or ownership changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market shows subdued implied probabilities across all outcomes—Microsoft leading at around 7-9%, followed by Walmart and others below 5%—reflecting the platform's January 2026 closure of a U.S. joint venture deal that averted a federal ban without a outright sale to a single entity. Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi-based MGX each secured 15% stakes in the new TikTok USDS entity, with ByteDance holding under 20%, satisfying national security concerns via majority American ownership and data controls. No fresh bids or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past 30 days amid stabilized operations; traders eye the market's late 2026 resolution for any surprise merger announcements or ownership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market shows subdued implied probabilities across all outcomes—Microsoft leading at around 7-9%, followed by Walmart and others below 5%—reflecting the platform's January 2026 closure of a U.S. joint venture deal that averted a federal ban without a outright sale to a single entity. Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi-based MGX each secured 15% stakes in the new TikTok USDS entity, with ByteDance holding under 20%, satisfying national security concerns via majority American ownership and data controls. No fresh bids or regulatory shifts have emerged in the past 30 days amid stabilized operations; traders eye the market's late 2026 resolution for any surprise merger announcements or ownership changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti
"Chi acquisterà TikTok?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Larry Ellison/Oracle" a 100%, seguito da "Microsoft" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" ha generato $1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 16, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Chi acquisterà TikTok?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" è "Larry Ellison/Oracle" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Microsoft" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Chi acquisterà TikTok?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $1 million scambiati su "Chi acquisterà TikTok?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Chi acquisterà TikTok?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 100¢ per "Larry Ellison/Oracle" nel mercato "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 100% che "Larry Ellison/Oracle" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 100¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 0¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Dec 31, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Chi acquisterà TikTok?" ha una comunità attiva di 42 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Chi acquisterà TikTok?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti