Petr Yan leads the market at 57% implied probability as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, a result that reversed their prior meeting and showcased his sharp boxing and takedown defense against high-volume pressure. The scheduled trilogy at UFC 333 on October 24 positions Yan favorably for a year-end hold, given his recovery from minor back surgery and historical edge when fully healthy. Dvalishvili trails at 38% despite his prior dominant reign and relentless wrestling, with traders noting the rematch's high stakes but factoring in Yan's stylistic advantages. Sean O'Malley's 6.6% reflects strong recent form and rankings placement yet limited immediate title-path access amid the division's focus on the Yan-Dvalishvili rivalry. Lower-probability names trail due to inactivity, recent losses, or depth behind the top contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetr Yan 57%
Merab Dvalishvili 38%
Sean O'Malley 6.8%
Song Yadong <1%
$452,075 Vol.
$452,075 Vol.
Petr Yan
57%
Merab Dvalishvili
38%
Sean O'Malley
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 57%
Merab Dvalishvili 38%
Sean O'Malley 6.8%
Song Yadong <1%
$452,075 Vol.
$452,075 Vol.
Petr Yan
57%
Merab Dvalishvili
38%
Sean O'Malley
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 57% implied probability as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, a result that reversed their prior meeting and showcased his sharp boxing and takedown defense against high-volume pressure. The scheduled trilogy at UFC 333 on October 24 positions Yan favorably for a year-end hold, given his recovery from minor back surgery and historical edge when fully healthy. Dvalishvili trails at 38% despite his prior dominant reign and relentless wrestling, with traders noting the rematch's high stakes but factoring in Yan's stylistic advantages. Sean O'Malley's 6.6% reflects strong recent form and rankings placement yet limited immediate title-path access amid the division's focus on the Yan-Dvalishvili rivalry. Lower-probability names trail due to inactivity, recent losses, or depth behind the top contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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