Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after defending it via unanimous decision against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, tying José Aldo’s record for most successful defenses in the division. Traders assign him the leading 53% implied probability for year-end 2026 status due to his experience, recent form, and public preference for a late-2026 title defense against top contender Movsar Evloev. Evloev, ranked second at 36%, solidified his position with a majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March 2026, extending his undefeated streak to 20-0 and earning immediate calls for the next shot. Lower-priced names such as Jean Silva and others trail significantly, reflecting limited near-term paths to the belt amid Volkanovski’s established reign and the division’s clear hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlexander Volkanovski 50%
Movsar Evloev 36%
Jean Silva 4.6%
Steve Garcia 3.4%
$296,010 Vol.
$296,010 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
52%
Movsar Evloev
27%
Jean Silva
5%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Arnold Allen
<1%
Brian Ortega
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 50%
Movsar Evloev 36%
Jean Silva 4.6%
Steve Garcia 3.4%
$296,010 Vol.
$296,010 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
52%
Movsar Evloev
27%
Jean Silva
5%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Arnold Allen
<1%
Brian Ortega
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after defending it via unanimous decision against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, tying José Aldo’s record for most successful defenses in the division. Traders assign him the leading 53% implied probability for year-end 2026 status due to his experience, recent form, and public preference for a late-2026 title defense against top contender Movsar Evloev. Evloev, ranked second at 36%, solidified his position with a majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March 2026, extending his undefeated streak to 20-0 and earning immediate calls for the next shot. Lower-priced names such as Jean Silva and others trail significantly, reflecting limited near-term paths to the belt amid Volkanovski’s established reign and the division’s clear hierarchy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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