Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum includes a non-binding question on whether to begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation from Canada. Recent polling from August 2026 shows roughly 60-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-35% favoring the process option, consistent with earlier surveys since the May announcement by Premier Danielle Smith. Smith has stated she will campaign and vote to remain while pursuing greater provincial autonomy within Confederation. Citizen petitions gathered significant signatures but faced court setbacks over Indigenous consultation requirements, leading the government to frame the ballot item as a limited first step rather than outright independence. These factors have produced broad trader consensus against passage by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$253,949 Vol.
$253,949 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$253,949 Vol.
$253,949 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum includes a non-binding question on whether to begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation from Canada. Recent polling from August 2026 shows roughly 60-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-35% favoring the process option, consistent with earlier surveys since the May announcement by Premier Danielle Smith. Smith has stated she will campaign and vote to remain while pursuing greater provincial autonomy within Confederation. Citizen petitions gathered significant signatures but faced court setbacks over Indigenous consultation requirements, leading the government to frame the ballot item as a limited first step rather than outright independence. These factors have produced broad trader consensus against passage by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$253,949Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum includes a non-binding question on whether to begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation from Canada. Recent polling from August 2026 shows roughly 60-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-35% favoring the process option, consistent with earlier surveys since the May announcement by Premier Danielle Smith. Smith has stated she will campaign and vote to remain while pursuing greater provincial autonomy within Confederation. Citizen petitions gathered significant signatures but faced court setbacks over Indigenous consultation requirements, leading the government to frame the ballot item as a limited first step rather than outright independence. These factors have produced broad trader consensus against passage by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$253,949Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum includes a non-binding question on whether to begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation from Canada. Recent polling from August 2026 shows roughly 60-72% support for remaining a province versus 19-35% favoring the process option, consistent with earlier surveys since the May announcement by Premier Danielle Smith. Smith has stated she will campaign and vote to remain while pursuing greater provincial autonomy within Confederation. Citizen petitions gathered significant signatures but faced court setbacks over Indigenous consultation requirements, leading the government to frame the ballot item as a limited first step rather than outright independence. These factors have produced broad trader consensus against passage by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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