Increased ICE enforcement targeting noncitizens in New York has produced thousands of arrests since early 2025, with more than 5,500 recorded in the New York City area through March 2026 and continued activity into spring, including targeted operations against individuals with criminal convictions. A federal court order issued in mid-May 2026 restricted most arrests at three Manhattan immigration courthouses, potentially reducing one major source of volume, though isolated detentions have continued and upstate operations remain active. New York’s sanctuary policies limit local cooperation with federal detainers, while scheduled removal proceedings and any additional field operations before the June 30 resolution date could still influence the final tally tracked on the official counter. Trader consensus reflects the tension between sustained enforcement priorities and these procedural constraints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
$12,358 Vol.
30 giu 2026
4800+
11%
4900+
7%
5000+
5%
$12,358 Vol.
4800+
$4,008 Vol.
11%
4900+
$4,981 Vol.
7%
5000+
$3,370 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Increased ICE enforcement targeting noncitizens in New York has produced thousands of arrests since early 2025, with more than 5,500 recorded in the New York City area through March 2026 and continued activity into spring, including targeted operations against individuals with criminal convictions. A federal court order issued in mid-May 2026 restricted most arrests at three Manhattan immigration courthouses, potentially reducing one major source of volume, though isolated detentions have continued and upstate operations remain active. New York’s sanctuary policies limit local cooperation with federal detainers, while scheduled removal proceedings and any additional field operations before the June 30 resolution date could still influence the final tally tracked on the official counter. Trader consensus reflects the tension between sustained enforcement priorities and these procedural constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Mercato aperto: May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$12,358Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Increased ICE enforcement targeting noncitizens in New York has produced thousands of arrests since early 2025, with more than 5,500 recorded in the New York City area through March 2026 and continued activity into spring, including targeted operations against individuals with criminal convictions. A federal court order issued in mid-May 2026 restricted most arrests at three Manhattan immigration courthouses, potentially reducing one major source of volume, though isolated detentions have continued and upstate operations remain active. New York’s sanctuary policies limit local cooperation with federal detainers, while scheduled removal proceedings and any additional field operations before the June 30 resolution date could still influence the final tally tracked on the official counter. Trader consensus reflects the tension between sustained enforcement priorities and these procedural constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Volume
$12,358Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Increased ICE enforcement targeting noncitizens in New York has produced thousands of arrests since early 2025, with more than 5,500 recorded in the New York City area through March 2026 and continued activity into spring, including targeted operations against individuals with criminal convictions. A federal court order issued in mid-May 2026 restricted most arrests at three Manhattan immigration courthouses, potentially reducing one major source of volume, though isolated detentions have continued and upstate operations remain active. New York’s sanctuary policies limit local cooperation with federal detainers, while scheduled removal proceedings and any additional field operations before the June 30 resolution date could still influence the final tally tracked on the official counter. Trader consensus reflects the tension between sustained enforcement priorities and these procedural constraints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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