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icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

NUOVO
31 lug 2026
Polymarket

$1,426 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$468 Vol.

1%

July 31

$419 Vol.

89%

August 31

$539 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *Petal* on April 28, 2026, confirming a July 31 release through her BabyDoll Music imprint under Republic Records, with 12 tracks executive produced alongside longtime collaborator Ilya. Pre-orders opened immediately in multiple formats, and the lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me” followed with a May 29 debut, aligning with standard rollout cadence ahead of her Eternal Sunshine Tour launch in June. No credible reports of delays or postponements have surfaced in the weeks since the reveal, allowing the market to price July 31 and August 31 outcomes at 89% and 97% implied probability, respectively. Traders are monitoring any last-minute single drops, tour conflicts, or label statements through late June and July for potential shifts, though the confirmed date and completed recording window currently anchor strong consensus around an on-schedule launch.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,426
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *Petal* on April 28, 2026, confirming a July 31 release through her BabyDoll Music imprint under Republic Records, with 12 tracks executive produced alongside longtime collaborator Ilya. Pre-orders opened immediately in multiple formats, and the lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me” followed with a May 29 debut, aligning with standard rollout cadence ahead of her Eternal Sunshine Tour launch in June. No credible reports of delays or postponements have surfaced in the weeks since the reveal, allowing the market to price July 31 and August 31 outcomes at 89% and 97% implied probability, respectively. Traders are monitoring any last-minute single drops, tour conflicts, or label statements through late June and July for potential shifts, though the confirmed date and completed recording window currently anchor strong consensus around an on-schedule launch.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,426
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "August 31" a 98%, seguito da "July 31" a 89%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" è "August 31" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "July 31" a 89%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.