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icon for La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?

La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?

icon for La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?

La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?

90% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

90% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity. This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify. Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A bill advancing rapidly through the California Legislature, SB 1387, requires state agencies collecting demographic data on ancestry or ethnic origin to add an optional category for Jewish identity. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026, drawing support from a broad coalition of Jewish organizations focused on improved hate-crime tracking, public-health data, and accurate population counts. With strong bipartisan momentum and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment before year-end as highly probable, reflecting the bill’s procedural progress and alignment with existing state data-collection frameworks.

California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.

Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.

Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,270
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity. This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify. Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity. This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify. Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A bill advancing rapidly through the California Legislature, SB 1387, requires state agencies collecting demographic data on ancestry or ethnic origin to add an optional category for Jewish identity. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote in mid-August 2026, drawing support from a broad coalition of Jewish organizations focused on improved hate-crime tracking, public-health data, and accurate population counts. With strong bipartisan momentum and no major organized opposition reported, traders see enactment before year-end as highly probable, reflecting the bill’s procedural progress and alignment with existing state data-collection frameworks.

California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.

Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.

Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,270
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity. This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify. Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "La California approverà una legge che riconosce gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?" a 90%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 13, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La California promulgherà una legge che riconosca gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?" è "La California approverà una legge che riconosce gli ebrei come gruppo etnico entro il 31 dicembre?" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

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