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Politica·Hunter Biden

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

icon for Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Politica·Hunter Biden

Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?

1% probabilità
Polymarket

$18,244 Vol.

1% probabilità
Polymarket

$18,244 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public filings, campaign infrastructure, staff hires, or statements indicating interest in Delaware’s 2026 U.S. Senate seat, leaving traders with near-certain consensus that no announcement will occur by the July 14 deadline. Recent social media activity from Biden has centered on responses to critics and occasional references to longer-term national prospects rather than any state-level candidacy. Other Democratic contenders have already entered the race for the seat held by Chris Coons, with primaries scheduled for September. The absence of groundwork this close to the filing window reinforces the overwhelming “No” positioning. A last-minute reversal would require an abrupt shift with no evident precursor in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,244
Data di fine
14 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hunter Biden has shown no public filings, campaign infrastructure, staff hires, or statements indicating interest in Delaware’s 2026 U.S. Senate seat, leaving traders with near-certain consensus that no announcement will occur by the July 14 deadline. Recent social media activity from Biden has centered on responses to critics and occasional references to longer-term national prospects rather than any state-level candidacy. Other Democratic contenders have already entered the race for the seat held by Chris Coons, with primaries scheduled for September. The absence of groundwork this close to the filing window reinforces the overwhelming “No” positioning. A last-minute reversal would require an abrupt shift with no evident precursor in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,244
Data di fine
14 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden announces that he will run for US Senator from Delaware by July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether the specified individual does or does not actually file to run. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hunter Biden (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 1% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 1¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 1% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" ha generato $18.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" è 1% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 1% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.