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Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

icon for Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
<1% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,999
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,999
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.