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icon for Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?

Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?

icon for Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?

Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?

22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count. If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Messi's official retirement from Argentina duty in late August 2026, announced shortly after the 2026 World Cup final loss to Spain, stands as the dominant factor behind the 78.5% implied probability on "No." At age 39, with 207 caps and 125 goals, he cited having "nothing left to give" after an elite tournament run that included eight goals and four assists. Argentina Football Association president Claudio Tapia has repeatedly framed any potential 2028 Copa América appearance—when Messi would be 41—as solely his personal decision, with no pressure applied. Earlier hopes of extending through the tournament aligned with his Inter Miami contract, yet the retirement statement shifted market consensus toward a low likelihood of return for the continental competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count.

If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count. If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$146
Data di fine
1 ago 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count. If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Messi's official retirement from Argentina duty in late August 2026, announced shortly after the 2026 World Cup final loss to Spain, stands as the dominant factor behind the 78.5% implied probability on "No." At age 39, with 207 caps and 125 goals, he cited having "nothing left to give" after an elite tournament run that included eight goals and four assists. Argentina Football Association president Claudio Tapia has repeatedly framed any potential 2028 Copa América appearance—when Messi would be 41—as solely his personal decision, with no pressure applied. Earlier hopes of extending through the tournament aligned with his Inter Miami contract, yet the retirement statement shifted market consensus toward a low likelihood of return for the continental competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count.

If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count. If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$146
Data di fine
1 ago 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 11:50 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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"Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 22% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 22¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 22% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?" è 22% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 22% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Lionel Messi giocherà alla Copa America 2028?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.