Skip to main content
icon for Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

icon for Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
<1% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,941
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,941
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Feb 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.