The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$22,328 Vol.
$22,328 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volume
$22,328Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volume
$22,328Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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