The September 2026 trilateral security agreement signed by the United States, Denmark, and Greenland leaders at the UN General Assembly has driven near-certain trader consensus against any US territorial acquisition in 2026. This pact expands permanent US basing rights, overflight access, and veto power over non-NATO investments in the mineral-rich Arctic territory while explicitly preserving Danish sovereignty and Greenland's self-determination path, including potential future independence. It addresses US national security priorities regarding Russia and China without any land transfer or purchase, following repeated rejections of outright acquisition proposals by Danish and Greenlandic officials. Remaining uncertainty stems from possible late-year shifts, such as Greenlandic parliamentary ratification outcomes, post-midterm US policy adjustments, or unforeseen diplomatic escalations that could reopen negotiations before year-end.