Tiger Woods has not competed in a PGA Tour event since the 2024 Open Championship and missed all four 2026 majors after a March rollover crash and DUI arrest prompted him to step away for health treatment. Multiple back surgeries, including a 2025 disc replacement, plus Achilles issues have left the 50-year-old dealing with persistent soreness and a prolonged rehab that continued into summer 2026, with reports indicating no realistic timeline for a return before year-end. His limited TGL appearance earlier in the year and eligibility for the PGA Tour Champions have not translated into confirmed PGA Tour starts. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” based on this extended absence, age-related recovery challenges, and official announcements prioritizing health over competition. Late-2026 participation remains theoretically possible if Woods clears medical checks and receives a sponsor exemption, though current reports point to continued focus on rehabilitation.