Ukrainian forces have conducted incremental advances in the Oleksandrivka–Hulyaipole sector of Zaporizhzhia Oblast since mid-July 2026, with reported gains near Rybne and Solodke directed toward Uspenivka. These movements coincide with Russian attempts to stabilize lines held by elements of the 5th Combined Arms Army after earlier 2025 breakthroughs in the area. Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian logistics and command nodes near the settlement have supported the local effort, while Russian forces maintain pressure elsewhere along the front. The pace of any re-entry into Uspenivka depends on sustained Ukrainian momentum in this secondary axis, Russian reinforcement decisions, and weather or equipment factors affecting maneuver. No major changes have been confirmed in the immediate vicinity since late July.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Ucraina rientrerà a Uspenivka entro...?
$191,250 Vol.
December 31
33%
30 settembre
10%
$191,250 Vol.
December 31
33%
30 settembre
10%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted incremental advances in the Oleksandrivka–Hulyaipole sector of Zaporizhzhia Oblast since mid-July 2026, with reported gains near Rybne and Solodke directed toward Uspenivka. These movements coincide with Russian attempts to stabilize lines held by elements of the 5th Combined Arms Army after earlier 2025 breakthroughs in the area. Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian logistics and command nodes near the settlement have supported the local effort, while Russian forces maintain pressure elsewhere along the front. The pace of any re-entry into Uspenivka depends on sustained Ukrainian momentum in this secondary axis, Russian reinforcement decisions, and weather or equipment factors affecting maneuver. No major changes have been confirmed in the immediate vicinity since late July.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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