CS2 Majors maintain a substantial edge in peak concurrent viewers and total hours watched, with the 2026 IEM Cologne Major reaching a record 2.75 million peak and over 100 million hours, far exceeding VALORANT Champions 2025's 1.47 million peak and recent VCT 2026 Stage 1 events that posted year-over-year declines across EMEA, Americas, and Pacific regions. VALORANT Masters London 2026 peaked at just 1.07 million, reflecting softer group-stage numbers and reduced momentum compared to prior cycles. These consistent gaps in audience scale, reinforced by stronger historical Major benchmarks for Counter-Strike, underpin the 75% trader consensus that VALORANT viewership will not surpass CS2 at any 2026 Major.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...CS2 Majors maintain a substantial edge in peak concurrent viewers and total hours watched, with the 2026 IEM Cologne Major reaching a record 2.75 million peak and over 100 million hours, far exceeding VALORANT Champions 2025's 1.47 million peak and recent VCT 2026 Stage 1 events that posted year-over-year declines across EMEA, Americas, and Pacific regions. VALORANT Masters London 2026 peaked at just 1.07 million, reflecting softer group-stage numbers and reduced momentum compared to prior cycles. These consistent gaps in audience scale, reinforced by stronger historical Major benchmarks for Counter-Strike, underpin the 75% trader consensus that VALORANT viewership will not surpass CS2 at any 2026 Major.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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