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icon for Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)

Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)

icon for Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)

Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)

51% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
51% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
12 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Top-10 seeds at Wimbledon 2026 include Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, Félix Auger-Aliassime, Ben Shelton, Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli, and Alexander Bublik, with the draw scheduled for release shortly before the June 29 start on grass.** The near-even 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 first-round exit reflects competitive balance between the overall strength of the seeded group—led by Sinner’s dominance and Djokovic’s grass-court pedigree—and Wimbledon’s historical volatility, where early upsets occur more frequently than on other surfaces due to fast conditions, variable bounces, and potential mismatches against qualifiers or grass specialists. Recent precedent from 2025, which saw multiple high seeds eliminated in round one, adds uncertainty, while factors such as pre-tournament form, minor injury concerns for players like Auger-Aliassime or Bublik, and the specific first-round pairings once announced could shift sentiment by highlighting vulnerable matchups or confirming favorable paths for favorites.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
12 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Men’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 51% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 51¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 51% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)" è 51% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 51% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Wimbledon 2026: i primi 10 semi da perdere nel primo turno? (Singolo maschile)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.