Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 16.9%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Portogallo
11%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 16.9%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
$1,940,590,071 Vol.
20 lug 2026
Spagna
$37,126,792 Vol.
17%
Francia
$43,707,536 Vol.
16%
Portogallo
$38,845,741 Vol.
11%
Inghilterra
$32,199,629 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$34,475,954 Vol.
9%
Brasile
$33,798,614 Vol.
8%
Germania
$35,518,523 Vol.
5%
Paesi Bassi
$38,139,433 Vol.
4%
Norvegia
$36,860,862 Vol.
2%
Belgio
$39,830,459 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$39,395,750 Vol.
2%
Giappone
$39,789,056 Vol.
2%
Marocco
$43,624,729 Vol.
2%
Messico
$43,543,671 Vol.
1%
Svizzera
$38,497,357 Vol.
1%
Turchia
$36,723,944 Vol.
1%
Stati Uniti
$56,317,775 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$39,175,747 Vol.
1%
Croazia
$44,682,645 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$44,579,716 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$38,510,454 Vol.
1%
Costa d'Avorio
$52,290,417 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$42,921,550 Vol.
<1%
Canada
$43,884,656 Vol.
<1%
Svezia
$29,548,239 Vol.
<1%
Corea del Sud
$48,081,894 Vol.
<1%
Scozia
$42,046,583 Vol.
<1%
Egitto
$50,956,474 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$44,297,327 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$36,644,434 Vol.
<1%
Algeria
$44,474,990 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
$27,598,705 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$41,781,598 Vol.
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
$57,480,010 Vol.
<1%
Cechia
$30,816,313 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,893,072 Vol.
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
$45,473,807 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$32,022,191 Vol.
<1%
Giordania
$31,607,892 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$41,613,224 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$35,503,084 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$59,655,927 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$19,348,383 Vol.
<1%
Iraq
$28,864,643 Vol.
<1%
Sudafrica
$38,231,045 Vol.
<1%
Capo Verde
$40,166,103 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$41,894,617 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$47,594,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,940,590,071Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,940,590,071Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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