Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while France’s exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 16.4%
Francia 16.1%
Inghilterra 10.8%
Portogallo 10.4%
$1,935,268,982 Vol.
$1,935,268,982 Vol.
Spagna
16%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Portogallo
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 16.4%
Francia 16.1%
Inghilterra 10.8%
Portogallo 10.4%
$1,935,268,982 Vol.
$1,935,268,982 Vol.
Spagna
16%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Portogallo
10%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit nearly level at the top of the World Cup winner market, reflecting the narrow gap in trader assessments of their squads heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong form with a youthful core have edged them slightly ahead in implied probability, while France’s exceptional depth across positions sustains their close positioning. England follows as the next European contender, benefiting from a solid qualification record and established Premier League talent. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil remain competitive due to individual star power and historical pedigree, though recent results have kept them behind the leading Europeans. This bunched pricing underscores the balanced field where multiple teams possess realistic paths to the final stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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