Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat in deeply red Wyoming, where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1976 and Republicans hold supermajorities in state registration and legislature. Rep. Harriet Hageman has emerged as the clear GOP frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, drawing on her statewide name recognition and alignment with Wyoming priorities like energy and limited government, bolstering trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory. Democrats, led by nominee James Willard Byrd, face steep structural barriers including minimal fundraising and polling deficits. Realistic challenges include a chaotic GOP primary producing a flawed nominee or an extraordinary national Democratic surge, though historical base rates favor Republican dominance by wide margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican
$6,720 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$2,439 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat in deeply red Wyoming, where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1976 and Republicans hold supermajorities in state registration and legislature. Rep. Harriet Hageman has emerged as the clear GOP frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, drawing on her statewide name recognition and alignment with Wyoming priorities like energy and limited government, bolstering trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory. Democrats, led by nominee James Willard Byrd, face steep structural barriers including minimal fundraising and polling deficits. Realistic challenges include a chaotic GOP primary producing a flawed nominee or an extraordinary national Democratic surge, though historical base rates favor Republican dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$9,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat in deeply red Wyoming, where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1976 and Republicans hold supermajorities in state registration and legislature. Rep. Harriet Hageman has emerged as the clear GOP frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, drawing on her statewide name recognition and alignment with Wyoming priorities like energy and limited government, bolstering trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory. Democrats, led by nominee James Willard Byrd, face steep structural barriers including minimal fundraising and polling deficits. Realistic challenges include a chaotic GOP primary producing a flawed nominee or an extraordinary national Democratic surge, though historical base rates favor Republican dominance by wide margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,159Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis' December 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat in deeply red Wyoming, where no Democrat has won a Senate race since 1976 and Republicans hold supermajorities in state registration and legislature. Rep. Harriet Hageman has emerged as the clear GOP frontrunner ahead of the August 18 primary, drawing on her statewide name recognition and alignment with Wyoming priorities like energy and limited government, bolstering trader consensus at 94% for a Republican victory. Democrats, led by nominee James Willard Byrd, face steep structural barriers including minimal fundraising and polling deficits. Realistic challenges include a chaotic GOP primary producing a flawed nominee or an extraordinary national Democratic surge, though historical base rates favor Republican dominance by wide margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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