With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フランス 18.3%
スペイン 16.7%
イングランド 11.3%
ブラジル 9.2%
$1,012,316,566 Vol.
$1,012,316,566 Vol.
2026/07/20
フランス
18%
スペイン
17%
イングランド
11%
ブラジル
9%
アルゼンチン
8%
ポルトガル
8%
ドイツ
5%
オランダ
3%
ノルウェー
2%
日本
2%
ベルギー
2%
コロンビア
2%
アメリカ
2%
モロッコ
2%
スイス
1%
ウルグアイ
1%
メキシコ
1%
クロアチア
1%
エクアドル
1%
セネガル
1%
トルコ
1%
オーストリア
1%
スウェーデン
1%
カナダ
<1%
韓国
<1%
パラグアイ
<1%
スコットランド
<1%
コートジボワール
<1%
エジプト
<1%
ガーナ
<1%
アルジェリア
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
<1%
チェコ
<1%
オーストラリア
<1%
ニュージーランド
<1%
ハイチ
<1%
ヨルダン
<1%
キュラソー
<1%
イラン
<1%
チュニジア
<1%
ウズベキスタン
<1%
パナマ
<1%
イラク
<1%
南アフリカ
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
<1%
カーボベルデ
<1%
カタール
<1%
サウジアラビア
<1%
フランス 18.3%
スペイン 16.7%
イングランド 11.3%
ブラジル 9.2%
$1,012,316,566 Vol.
$1,012,316,566 Vol.
2026/07/20
フランス
$27,230,786 Vol.
18%
スペイン
$21,358,204 Vol.
17%
イングランド
$17,642,352 Vol.
11%
ブラジル
$18,883,259 Vol.
9%
アルゼンチン
$18,460,970 Vol.
8%
ポルトガル
$20,180,956 Vol.
8%
ドイツ
$17,192,975 Vol.
5%
オランダ
$19,284,161 Vol.
3%
ノルウェー
$17,767,183 Vol.
2%
日本
$22,035,854 Vol.
2%
ベルギー
$16,851,279 Vol.
2%
コロンビア
$15,732,615 Vol.
2%
アメリカ
$32,313,488 Vol.
2%
モロッコ
$20,672,454 Vol.
2%
スイス
$18,497,946 Vol.
1%
ウルグアイ
$17,947,695 Vol.
1%
メキシコ
$19,622,345 Vol.
1%
クロアチア
$21,544,612 Vol.
1%
エクアドル
$21,975,419 Vol.
1%
セネガル
$17,606,859 Vol.
1%
トルコ
$10,984,337 Vol.
1%
オーストリア
$18,777,420 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$9,941,968 Vol.
1%
カナダ
$23,049,127 Vol.
<1%
韓国
$24,531,574 Vol.
<1%
パラグアイ
$19,722,020 Vol.
<1%
スコットランド
$18,679,508 Vol.
<1%
コートジボワール
$23,362,328 Vol.
<1%
エジプト
$23,773,205 Vol.
<1%
ガーナ
$18,246,695 Vol.
<1%
アルジェリア
$21,922,442 Vol.
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
$10,801,227 Vol.
<1%
チェコ
$9,495,313 Vol.
<1%
オーストラリア
$23,921,968 Vol.
<1%
ニュージーランド
$31,144,965 Vol.
<1%
ハイチ
$18,012,880 Vol.
<1%
ヨルダン
$26,146,267 Vol.
<1%
キュラソー
$36,709,126 Vol.
<1%
イラン
$24,896,158 Vol.
<1%
チュニジア
$22,370,643 Vol.
<1%
ウズベキスタン
$39,007,766 Vol.
<1%
パナマ
$13,130,836 Vol.
<1%
イラク
$12,718,059 Vol.
<1%
南アフリカ
$27,146,880 Vol.
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
$16,527,806 Vol.
<1%
カーボベルデ
$23,158,390 Vol.
<1%
カタール
$24,775,588 Vol.
<1%
サウジアラビア
$27,735,576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$1,012,316,566終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,012,316,566終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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