Chengdu Rongcheng’s commanding position atop the 2026 Chinese Super League table underpins the highest implied probability among contenders, driven by an unbeaten record through the first 12 matchdays and a 14-point cushion over Chongqing Tonglianglong. The club’s superior goal difference and recent form, highlighted by a 2-1 comeback victory at Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, have widened the gap in the standings. With the campaign extending through November, traders price in the difficulty of closing such a deficit for teams like Yunnan Yukun, Qingdao Hainiu, and Shandong Taishan, whose lower market levels reflect fewer points and less consistent results to date.