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icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

icon for 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

3% 確率
Polymarket
新規
3% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Recent MrBeast main-channel releases have fallen well short of the 50-million first-day threshold, with his April 4 blockbuster “50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000” peaking at just 33.9 million views despite strong concurrent livestream numbers. Traders see this as the latest evidence of audience fatigue, diluted hype from frequent uploads, shifting YouTube algorithms, and MrBeast’s growing focus on Beast Games and other platforms. Historical records from 2024 remain distant, and no confirmed May upload carries the scale or marketing push needed to reverse the trend before the May 31 cutoff. A last-minute mega-collaboration or unexpected viral moment could theoretically close the gap, yet current view trajectories and platform dynamics make that outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
音量
$8,094
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.Recent MrBeast main-channel releases have fallen well short of the 50-million first-day threshold, with his April 4 blockbuster “50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000” peaking at just 33.9 million views despite strong concurrent livestream numbers. Traders see this as the latest evidence of audience fatigue, diluted hype from frequent uploads, shifting YouTube algorithms, and MrBeast’s growing focus on Beast Games and other platforms. Historical records from 2024 remain distant, and no confirmed May upload carries the scale or marketing push needed to reverse the trend before the May 31 cutoff. A last-minute mega-collaboration or unexpected viral moment could theoretically close the gap, yet current view trajectories and platform dynamics make that outcome highly improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
音量
$8,094
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

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よくある質問

「50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して3%です。例えば、「はい」が3¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を3%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 27, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して3%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を3%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。