Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PP 99.2%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$163,831 Vol.
$163,831 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
99%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.2%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$163,831 Vol.
$163,831 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
$56,596 Vol.
99%
PSOE-A
$60,856 Vol.
1%
VOX
$36,208 Vol.
<1%
PA
$5,745 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
音量
$163,831終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
音量
$163,831終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple firms has shown the Partido Popular, led by incumbent regional president Juanma Moreno, maintaining a substantial lead of roughly 20 points over the PSOE-A ahead of the May 17 vote for Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament. This positioning reflects sustained voter support for the PP’s governance record and has translated into seat projections near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Traders have priced in this advantage as a near-certain outcome, with the PSOE-A, Vox, and smaller lists such as Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía trailing far behind in every recent survey. An upset would require an unprecedented late swing in turnout or vote distribution not signaled by current data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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