The commanding position of the Partido Popular in the Andalusia regional election stems from consistent polling leads for incumbent president Juanma Moreno, with recent surveys placing PP support at 42-44 percent and projecting 54-58 seats in the 109-seat parliament—near or above the absolute majority threshold. This positioning reflects sustained approval for regional governance and economic management amid a fragmented opposition, where PSOE-A trails at roughly 21-24 percent and Vox hovers around 13-14 percent. Traders' near-certain consensus on PP securing the most seats aligns with these trends and historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unexpectedly high turnout among opposition voters, last-minute developments affecting mobilization, or shifts in coalition dynamics post-vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PP 99.8%
PSOE-A 1.4%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$164,135 Vol.
$164,135 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
100%
PSOE-A
1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.8%
PSOE-A 1.4%
PA <1%
VOX <1%
$164,135 Vol.
$164,135 Vol.
2026/05/17
PP
$60,445 Vol.
100%
PSOE-A
$63,033 Vol.
1%
VOX
$36,234 Vol.
<1%
PA
$5,745 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The commanding position of the Partido Popular in the Andalusia regional election stems from consistent polling leads for incumbent president Juanma Moreno, with recent surveys placing PP support at 42-44 percent and projecting 54-58 seats in the 109-seat parliament—near or above the absolute majority threshold. This positioning reflects sustained approval for regional governance and economic management amid a fragmented opposition, where PSOE-A trails at roughly 21-24 percent and Vox hovers around 13-14 percent. Traders' near-certain consensus on PP securing the most seats aligns with these trends and historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unexpectedly high turnout among opposition voters, last-minute developments affecting mobilization, or shifts in coalition dynamics post-vote.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
音量
$164,135終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The commanding position of the Partido Popular in the Andalusia regional election stems from consistent polling leads for incumbent president Juanma Moreno, with recent surveys placing PP support at 42-44 percent and projecting 54-58 seats in the 109-seat parliament—near or above the absolute majority threshold. This positioning reflects sustained approval for regional governance and economic management amid a fragmented opposition, where PSOE-A trails at roughly 21-24 percent and Vox hovers around 13-14 percent. Traders' near-certain consensus on PP securing the most seats aligns with these trends and historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unexpectedly high turnout among opposition voters, last-minute developments affecting mobilization, or shifts in coalition dynamics post-vote.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
音量
$164,135終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The commanding position of the Partido Popular in the Andalusia regional election stems from consistent polling leads for incumbent president Juanma Moreno, with recent surveys placing PP support at 42-44 percent and projecting 54-58 seats in the 109-seat parliament—near or above the absolute majority threshold. This positioning reflects sustained approval for regional governance and economic management amid a fragmented opposition, where PSOE-A trails at roughly 21-24 percent and Vox hovers around 13-14 percent. Traders' near-certain consensus on PP securing the most seats aligns with these trends and historical patterns of incumbent strength in Spanish regional contests. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unexpectedly high turnout among opposition voters, last-minute developments affecting mobilization, or shifts in coalition dynamics post-vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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