Xavier Becerra's narrow lead in California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary reflects Democratic voter consolidation around the former attorney general and HHS secretary amid a fragmented field that included Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and others. Polling in the final weeks showed Becerra pulling ahead to roughly 23-29% support while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco split the opposing vote, with Hilton ultimately securing second place by a slim margin over Steyer. Endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and organized labor reinforced Becerra's frontrunner status without producing a decisive blowout, as the crowded Democratic primary kept his share of the vote in the high 20s. Late shifts among independents and the top-two structure further compressed the gap to the runner-up. A sudden surge by Steyer or stronger Republican turnout could have widened or narrowed the result, though confirmed vote tallies confirm Becerra's margin stayed under five points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ベセラ <5% 94.8%
ベセラ 5〜10％ 3.0%
ベセラ10％超 2.7%
ヒルトンが勝利 1.0%
$31,307 Vol.
$31,307 Vol.
2026/06/02
ベセラ10％超
3%
ベセラ 5〜10％
3%
ベセラ <5%
95%
スタイヤー 5％超
<1%
スタイヤー <5%
1%
ヒルトンが勝利
1%
ビアンコの勝利
<1%
ベセラ <5% 94.8%
ベセラ 5〜10％ 3.0%
ベセラ10％超 2.7%
ヒルトンが勝利 1.0%
$31,307 Vol.
$31,307 Vol.
2026/06/02
ベセラ10％超
$6,413 Vol.
3%
ベセラ 5〜10％
$12,571 Vol.
3%
ベセラ <5%
$5,270 Vol.
95%
スタイヤー 5％超
$1,486 Vol.
<1%
スタイヤー <5%
$2,028 Vol.
1%
ヒルトンが勝利
$2,867 Vol.
1%
ビアンコの勝利
$673 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra's narrow lead in California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary reflects Democratic voter consolidation around the former attorney general and HHS secretary amid a fragmented field that included Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and others. Polling in the final weeks showed Becerra pulling ahead to roughly 23-29% support while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco split the opposing vote, with Hilton ultimately securing second place by a slim margin over Steyer. Endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and organized labor reinforced Becerra's frontrunner status without producing a decisive blowout, as the crowded Democratic primary kept his share of the vote in the high 20s. Late shifts among independents and the top-two structure further compressed the gap to the runner-up. A sudden surge by Steyer or stronger Republican turnout could have widened or narrowed the result, though confirmed vote tallies confirm Becerra's margin stayed under five points.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$31,307終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Xavier Becerra's narrow lead in California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary reflects Democratic voter consolidation around the former attorney general and HHS secretary amid a fragmented field that included Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and others. Polling in the final weeks showed Becerra pulling ahead to roughly 23-29% support while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco split the opposing vote, with Hilton ultimately securing second place by a slim margin over Steyer. Endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and organized labor reinforced Becerra's frontrunner status without producing a decisive blowout, as the crowded Democratic primary kept his share of the vote in the high 20s. Late shifts among independents and the top-two structure further compressed the gap to the runner-up. A sudden surge by Steyer or stronger Republican turnout could have widened or narrowed the result, though confirmed vote tallies confirm Becerra's margin stayed under five points.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$31,307終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Xavier Becerra's narrow lead in California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary reflects Democratic voter consolidation around the former attorney general and HHS secretary amid a fragmented field that included Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and others. Polling in the final weeks showed Becerra pulling ahead to roughly 23-29% support while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco split the opposing vote, with Hilton ultimately securing second place by a slim margin over Steyer. Endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and organized labor reinforced Becerra's frontrunner status without producing a decisive blowout, as the crowded Democratic primary kept his share of the vote in the high 20s. Late shifts among independents and the top-two structure further compressed the gap to the runner-up. A sudden surge by Steyer or stronger Republican turnout could have widened or narrowed the result, though confirmed vote tallies confirm Becerra's margin stayed under five points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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