Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 Vol.
$12,920 Vol.
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.3%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,920 Vol.
$12,920 Vol.
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,334 Vol.
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,344 Vol.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 Vol.
4%
Other
$1,893 Vol.
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$12,920終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$12,920終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote show leftist candidate Iván Cepeda holding a consistent lead in the low-to-mid 40s while falling well short of an outright majority, making a June 21 runoff the near-certain outcome. Recent surveys place right-wing independent Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of center-right Senator Paloma Valencia for the second qualifying spot, reflecting stronger momentum among conservative voters and contributing to the high trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff pairing. Valencia’s slower polling gains and internal right-wing fragmentation have limited her path to advancement, while the low probability assigned to an outright first-round winner aligns with the absence of any candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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