Recent polling averages position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with 37-44 percent support, well short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in most surveys for second place. De la Espriella’s emphasis on aggressive security measures modeled on Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has consolidated conservative backing, whereas Valencia’s institutional Democratic Center base has not translated into comparable momentum despite her primary victory. The resulting trader consensus reflects the likelihood that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance to the June 21 runoff, with an outright first-round winner remaining a lower-probability scenario absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 83%
1st Round Outright Winner 13.2%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
83%
1st Round Outright Winner
13%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 83%
1st Round Outright Winner 13.2%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,259 Vol.
83%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,226 Vol.
13%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,491 Vol.
6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
Other
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with 37-44 percent support, well short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in most surveys for second place. De la Espriella’s emphasis on aggressive security measures modeled on Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has consolidated conservative backing, whereas Valencia’s institutional Democratic Center base has not translated into comparable momentum despite her primary victory. The resulting trader consensus reflects the likelihood that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance to the June 21 runoff, with an outright first-round winner remaining a lower-probability scenario absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with 37-44 percent support, well short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in most surveys for second place. De la Espriella’s emphasis on aggressive security measures modeled on Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has consolidated conservative backing, whereas Valencia’s institutional Democratic Center base has not translated into comparable momentum despite her primary victory. The resulting trader consensus reflects the likelihood that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance to the June 21 runoff, with an outright first-round winner remaining a lower-probability scenario absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position left-wing Senator Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round frontrunner with 37-44 percent support, well short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote, while right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in most surveys for second place. De la Espriella’s emphasis on aggressive security measures modeled on Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele has consolidated conservative backing, whereas Valencia’s institutional Democratic Center base has not translated into comparable momentum despite her primary victory. The resulting trader consensus reflects the likelihood that Cepeda and de la Espriella will advance to the June 21 runoff, with an outright first-round winner remaining a lower-probability scenario absent major late shifts in turnout or alliances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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