Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
80%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,526 Vol.
80%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,811 Vol.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 Vol.
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
Other
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$9,942終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$9,942終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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