France leads Group I with a strong implied probability driven by their deep squad, elite depth across positions, and consistent results in recent international windows. Key attackers and midfield creators have maintained high form, supporting the team's ability to control matches against varied opposition. Norway sits second on the back of standout individual contributions from their attacking core and improved defensive organization in qualifiers. Senegal benefits from a robust African squad and experience in high-stakes fixtures, while Iraq trails as the clear underdog with limited recent results against top-tier sides. Upcoming schedule strength and any late injury updates remain the primary variables that could shift these probabilities before the tournament begins.