France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the clear frontrunner to win Group I, reflecting traders’ consensus on the team’s unmatched squad depth, recent March statement wins over Colombia and Brazil, and proven track record in major tournaments. Norway sits in second at roughly 22% implied probability thanks to its blend of individual talent and attacking momentum, while Senegal at 9% remains competitive through strong CAF form and a favorable path that includes a direct matchup against Norway. Iraq trails at under 1%, limited by lower FIFA ranking and less proven depth against this level of opposition. With group stage matches set for mid-June across North American venues, recent injury updates and final squad announcements will likely shape any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フランス 71%
ノルウェー 22%
セネガル 9%
イラク <1%
$141,195 Vol.
$141,195 Vol.
フランス
71%
ノルウェー
22%
セネガル
9%
イラク
1%
フランス 71%
ノルウェー 22%
セネガル 9%
イラク <1%
$141,195 Vol.
$141,195 Vol.
フランス
71%
ノルウェー
22%
セネガル
9%
イラク
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the clear frontrunner to win Group I, reflecting traders’ consensus on the team’s unmatched squad depth, recent March statement wins over Colombia and Brazil, and proven track record in major tournaments. Norway sits in second at roughly 22% implied probability thanks to its blend of individual talent and attacking momentum, while Senegal at 9% remains competitive through strong CAF form and a favorable path that includes a direct matchup against Norway. Iraq trails at under 1%, limited by lower FIFA ranking and less proven depth against this level of opposition. With group stage matches set for mid-June across North American venues, recent injury updates and final squad announcements will likely shape any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問