**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak. Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日のパリの最高気温は？
6月28日のパリの最高気温は？
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
33°C 8.9%
新規
$12,850 Vol.
新規
$12,850 Vol.
2026/06/28
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
37%
32°C
26%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 22%
33°C 8.9%
新規
$12,850 Vol.
新規
$12,850 Vol.
2026/06/28
27°C or below
$554 Vol.
1%
28°C
$699 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,082 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,070 Vol.
22%
31°C
$3,889 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,120 Vol.
26%
33°C
$1,349 Vol.
9%
34°C
$1,082 Vol.
2%
35°C
$476 Vol.
1%
36°C
$884 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$644 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak.
Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$12,850終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak.
Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,850終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:01 AM ET**A severe early-summer heatwave peaked across France mid-week, driving Paris temperatures to 39–40 °C on June 24–25 before a gradual easing began.** By June 26, official guidance from Météo-France pointed to moderating conditions over the weekend, with Atlantic air and increasing thunderstorm risk expected to cap daytime maxima on June 28. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C (roughly 78 % combined implied probability), reflecting model agreement on cooling yet residual uncertainty over the precise peak. Key scientific differentiators include the exact arrival and depth of the cooler maritime flow, the timing and coverage of convective clouds or showers (which can suppress insolation and lower highs by 2–4 °C), and small spread among high-resolution runs for the Paris basin. Historical June maxima in the capital average near 25 °C, so even a moderated 31–32 °C day would remain well above normal. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official forecast updates and any late-model shifts in steering or instability will be the primary drivers of further market movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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