Drake’s ICEMAN album, released alongside two surprise projects on May 15, drove immediate chart momentum with record-breaking Spotify streams and projections for one of his strongest Billboard 200 debuts. Traders have priced a 40.5% chance for four or more weeks at No. 1 because the triple-release strategy and sustained fan engagement typically extend Drake’s runs beyond initial hype, outpacing most competitors. The 24.5% probability on exactly two weeks reflects realistic concerns over upcoming major releases and how quickly streaming numbers may taper after the first tracking period. Historical precedent from prior Drake albums and current Apple Music dominance further support the market’s emphasis on prolonged chart leadership rather than a quick drop-off.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アイスマンは何週間ビルボード200で1位になりますか？
アイスマンは何週間ビルボード200で1位になりますか？
4以上 46%
2 32%
3 23%
1 10.1%
$16,390 Vol.
$16,390 Vol.
2026/07/31
0
4%
1
10%
2
25%
3
16%
4以上
41%
4以上 46%
2 32%
3 23%
1 10.1%
$16,390 Vol.
$16,390 Vol.
2026/07/31
0
$4,078 Vol.
4%
1
$3,779 Vol.
10%
2
$1,361 Vol.
25%
3
$3,097 Vol.
16%
4以上
$4,074 Vol.
41%
Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).Drake’s ICEMAN album, released alongside two surprise projects on May 15, drove immediate chart momentum with record-breaking Spotify streams and projections for one of his strongest Billboard 200 debuts. Traders have priced a 40.5% chance for four or more weeks at No. 1 because the triple-release strategy and sustained fan engagement typically extend Drake’s runs beyond initial hype, outpacing most competitors. The 24.5% probability on exactly two weeks reflects realistic concerns over upcoming major releases and how quickly streaming numbers may taper after the first tracking period. Historical precedent from prior Drake albums and current Apple Music dominance further support the market’s emphasis on prolonged chart leadership rather than a quick drop-off.
Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$16,390終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).Drake’s ICEMAN album, released alongside two surprise projects on May 15, drove immediate chart momentum with record-breaking Spotify streams and projections for one of his strongest Billboard 200 debuts. Traders have priced a 40.5% chance for four or more weeks at No. 1 because the triple-release strategy and sustained fan engagement typically extend Drake’s runs beyond initial hype, outpacing most competitors. The 24.5% probability on exactly two weeks reflects realistic concerns over upcoming major releases and how quickly streaming numbers may taper after the first tracking period. Historical precedent from prior Drake albums and current Apple Music dominance further support the market’s emphasis on prolonged chart leadership rather than a quick drop-off.
Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.
If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
音量
$16,390終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drake’s ICEMAN album, released alongside two surprise projects on May 15, drove immediate chart momentum with record-breaking Spotify streams and projections for one of his strongest Billboard 200 debuts. Traders have priced a 40.5% chance for four or more weeks at No. 1 because the triple-release strategy and sustained fan engagement typically extend Drake’s runs beyond initial hype, outpacing most competitors. The 24.5% probability on exactly two weeks reflects realistic concerns over upcoming major releases and how quickly streaming numbers may taper after the first tracking period. Historical precedent from prior Drake albums and current Apple Music dominance further support the market’s emphasis on prolonged chart leadership rather than a quick drop-off.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問