In the opening weeks of the 2026 MLB season, the National League Hank Aaron Award market stays wide open, with Shohei Ohtani carrying the highest trader-implied probability at 17.5% thanks to his elite power, plate discipline, and placement in a potent Dodgers lineup that maximizes run production. Kyle Schwarber sits at 8.9% on the strength of his proven home-run swing and favorable home park in Philadelphia, while Juan Soto at 5.7% and Bryce Harper at 4.2% rely on established track records of consistent extra-base hits. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 3.4% and Francisco Lindor at 3.1% offer speed-plus-power upside, yet the field’s depth and early-season volatility mean any sustained hot streak or injury could quickly reorder the consensus ahead of the All-Star break.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日MLB : 2026年NLハンク・アーロン優勝
大谷翔平 18%
カイル・シュワーバー 7.5%
フアン・ソト 5.7%
ブライス・ハーパー 4.2%
$119,319 Vol.
$119,319 Vol.
大谷翔平
18%
カイル・シュワーバー
8%
フアン・ソト
6%
ブライス・ハーパー
4%
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア
3%
フランシスコ・リンドー
3%
ケーテル・マルテ
1%
ピート・クロウ=アームストロング
1%
フェルナンド・タティス・ジュニア
1%
ムーキー・ベッツ
<1%
大谷翔平 18%
カイル・シュワーバー 7.5%
フアン・ソト 5.7%
ブライス・ハーパー 4.2%
$119,319 Vol.
$119,319 Vol.
大谷翔平
18%
カイル・シュワーバー
8%
フアン・ソト
6%
ブライス・ハーパー
4%
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア
3%
フランシスコ・リンドー
3%
ケーテル・マルテ
1%
ピート・クロウ=アームストロング
1%
フェルナンド・タティス・ジュニア
1%
ムーキー・ベッツ
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the opening weeks of the 2026 MLB season, the National League Hank Aaron Award market stays wide open, with Shohei Ohtani carrying the highest trader-implied probability at 17.5% thanks to his elite power, plate discipline, and placement in a potent Dodgers lineup that maximizes run production. Kyle Schwarber sits at 8.9% on the strength of his proven home-run swing and favorable home park in Philadelphia, while Juan Soto at 5.7% and Bryce Harper at 4.2% rely on established track records of consistent extra-base hits. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 3.4% and Francisco Lindor at 3.1% offer speed-plus-power upside, yet the field’s depth and early-season volatility mean any sustained hot streak or injury could quickly reorder the consensus ahead of the All-Star break.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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