Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding performance in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary has locked in trader consensus around a 60-70 percent margin of victory. Backed by strong Trump endorsement and party base mobilization, he defeated his only opponent by a wide margin that exceeded 80 percent in early projections and final tallies. This outcome reflects Ramaswamy's broad appeal among Republican voters in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Governor Mike DeWine. With results now certified and no viable challenges emerging, the market pricing captures the decisive nature of his nomination win. Only extraordinary post-election irregularities could shift the assessed margin at this point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オハイオ州知事共和党予備選挙:勝利のマージン
ラマスワミ 60-70% 99.6%
ラマスワミ 70%以上 <1%
ラマスワミ 50-60% <1%
ラマスワミ <30% <1%
$65,083 Vol.
$65,083 Vol.
ラマスワミ <30%
<1%
ラマスワミ 30-40%
<1%
ラマスワミ 40-50%
<1%
ラマスワミ 50-60%
<1%
ラマスワミ 60-70%
100%
ラマスワミ 70%以上
1%
その他
<1%
ラマスワミ 60-70% 99.6%
ラマスワミ 70%以上 <1%
ラマスワミ 50-60% <1%
ラマスワミ <30% <1%
$65,083 Vol.
$65,083 Vol.
ラマスワミ <30%
<1%
ラマスワミ 30-40%
<1%
ラマスワミ 40-50%
<1%
ラマスワミ 50-60%
<1%
ラマスワミ 60-70%
100%
ラマスワミ 70%以上
1%
その他
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding performance in Ohio's May 5 Republican primary has locked in trader consensus around a 60-70 percent margin of victory. Backed by strong Trump endorsement and party base mobilization, he defeated his only opponent by a wide margin that exceeded 80 percent in early projections and final tallies. This outcome reflects Ramaswamy's broad appeal among Republican voters in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Governor Mike DeWine. With results now certified and no viable challenges emerging, the market pricing captures the decisive nature of his nomination win. Only extraordinary post-election irregularities could shift the assessed margin at this point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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