Polymarket trader consensus prices a 56% implied probability for Silver (SI) active month futures settling above $85 on June's final trading day, balancing robust industrial demand against macroeconomic headwinds. Spot prices hovered near $85 per ounce as of May 14 after surging to $89 mid-week on hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI data—silver's inflation-hedge appeal offset by Treasury yield spikes and USD strength. Persistent supply deficits, driven by record solar PV and EV fabrication needs (projected at 160+ million ounces in 2026), support elevated levels versus JPMorgan's $81 yearly average forecast. Watch May CPI (early June) and FOMC June 16-17 for shifts in rate cut pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$257,291 Vol.
$140
3%
120ドル
9%
110ドル
17%
100ドル
30%
95ドル
40%
90ドル
46%
85ドル
55%
80ドル
56%
75ドル
71%
70ドル
85%
$65
90%
60ドル
91%
$257,291 Vol.
$140
3%
120ドル
9%
110ドル
17%
100ドル
30%
95ドル
40%
90ドル
46%
85ドル
55%
80ドル
56%
75ドル
71%
70ドル
85%
$65
90%
60ドル
91%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket trader consensus prices a 56% implied probability for Silver (SI) active month futures settling above $85 on June's final trading day, balancing robust industrial demand against macroeconomic headwinds. Spot prices hovered near $85 per ounce as of May 14 after surging to $89 mid-week on hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI data—silver's inflation-hedge appeal offset by Treasury yield spikes and USD strength. Persistent supply deficits, driven by record solar PV and EV fabrication needs (projected at 160+ million ounces in 2026), support elevated levels versus JPMorgan's $81 yearly average forecast. Watch May CPI (early June) and FOMC June 16-17 for shifts in rate cut pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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