Recent reports indicate Conor McGregor is finalizing a deal to face Max Holloway in a welterweight rematch at UFC 329 on July 11 during International Fight Week in Las Vegas, positioning Holloway as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus at 82.5 percent implied probability. McGregor has been training in camp for weeks ahead of his first octagon appearance since 2021, while Holloway has repeatedly expressed interest in the matchup following their 2013 clash. UFC president Dana White’s recent comments expressing confidence in a 2026 return have further solidified market sentiment toward this pairing. Lower-priced alternatives like Michael Chandler at 12 percent or Jorge Masvidal at 10 percent remain viable if negotiations shift, though they lag behind amid the momentum toward Holloway.