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icon for 2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？
テクノロジー·Jony Ive

2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？

icon for 2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？
テクノロジー·Jony Ive

2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？

$265,227 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$265,227 Vol.

Polymarket

メガネ

$45,224 Vol.

34%

イヤホン／ヘッドフォン

$101,643 Vol.

31%

衣服用クリップ型デバイス

$24,712 Vol.

16%

電話

$29,918 Vol.

20%

ネックレス

$15,985 Vol.

17%

腕時計

$28,545 Vol.

17%

リング

$2,943 Vol.

16%

ヘッドマウントディスプレイ

$3,050 Vol.

13%

コンピューター（ノートパソコン／デスクトップ）

$11,723 Vol.

13%

タブレット

$1,484 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's recent emphasis on agentic workflows and enterprise tools, including the launch of Frontier as a cross-system intelligence layer and widespread adoption of GPT-5.5 features like workspace agents, is shaping trader expectations for a 2026 product announcement centered on AI agents or integrated super-assistants rather than another standalone large language model. These updates build on accelerated enterprise revenue growth, with Codex reaching millions of users and APIs handling record token volumes, signaling a strategic pivot from chatbot interfaces to actionable, multimodal systems. Hardware developments, such as ongoing custom silicon work and confirmed plans for a late-2026 consumer device reveal, add another potential category, though timelines remain subject to supply chain and regulatory factors. Traders are watching upcoming developer conferences and earnings updates for clearer signals on release criteria like agent capabilities or device prototypes.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
音量
$265,227
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's recent emphasis on agentic workflows and enterprise tools, including the launch of Frontier as a cross-system intelligence layer and widespread adoption of GPT-5.5 features like workspace agents, is shaping trader expectations for a 2026 product announcement centered on AI agents or integrated super-assistants rather than another standalone large language model. These updates build on accelerated enterprise revenue growth, with Codex reaching millions of users and APIs handling record token volumes, signaling a strategic pivot from chatbot interfaces to actionable, multimodal systems. Hardware developments, such as ongoing custom silicon work and confirmed plans for a late-2026 consumer device reveal, add another potential category, though timelines remain subject to supply chain and regulatory factors. Traders are watching upcoming developer conferences and earnings updates for clearer signals on release criteria like agent capabilities or device prototypes.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
音量
$265,227
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「メガネ」で34%、次いで「イヤホン／ヘッドフォン」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」は$265.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年にOpenAIはどのような製品を発表しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「メガネ」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「イヤホン／ヘッドフォン」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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