Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a fragmented National Assembly, with the incumbent Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and the Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc with a clear path to the 46-seat majority required for government formation. After Prime Minister Robert Golob conceded he could not assemble a coalition, President Nataša Pirc Musar shifted the process to parliament, opening the door for Janez Janša to lead centre-right talks. Key smaller parties, including the nine-seat Christian democratic alliance of NSi, SLS and Fokus plus the six-seat Democrats led by Anže Logar, now hold pivotal negotiating leverage in discussions over ministry allocations and policy priorities. Traders are monitoring these fluid coalition-building efforts and any emerging majority agreements that would determine which parties ultimately enter the next government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$231,175 Vol.
2026/03/22
民主党（D）
98%
ニュー・スロベニア－キリスト教民主党（NSi）
97%
スロベニア民主党（SDS）
96%
スロベニア国民党（SLS）
85%
Resni.ca（Res）
7%
自由運動（GS）
4%
左翼（レヴィツァ）
4%
Mi, socialisti!（Mi!）
3%
プレロド（PVP）
1%
社会民主党（SD）
1%
ヴェスナ－緑の党（ヴェスナ）
1%
私たちの国（ND）
1%
スロベニア国民党（SNS）
<1%
スロベニア海賊党（PPS）
<1%
世代の党（SG）
43%
$231,175 Vol.
民主党（D）
$23,865 Vol.
98%
ニュー・スロベニア－キリスト教民主党（NSi）
$10,612 Vol.
97%
スロベニア民主党（SDS）
$27,814 Vol.
96%
スロベニア国民党（SLS）
$12,798 Vol.
85%
Resni.ca（Res）
$56,635 Vol.
7%
自由運動（GS）
$46,612 Vol.
4%
左翼（レヴィツァ）
$10,427 Vol.
4%
Mi, socialisti!（Mi!）
$862 Vol.
3%
プレロド（PVP）
$2,479 Vol.
1%
社会民主党（SD）
$13,949 Vol.
1%
ヴェスナ－緑の党（ヴェスナ）
$2,457 Vol.
1%
私たちの国（ND）
$4,329 Vol.
1%
スロベニア国民党（SNS）
$3,212 Vol.
<1%
スロベニア海賊党（PPS）
$14,095 Vol.
<1%
世代の党（SG）
$1,029 Vol.
43%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a fragmented National Assembly, with the incumbent Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and the Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc with a clear path to the 46-seat majority required for government formation. After Prime Minister Robert Golob conceded he could not assemble a coalition, President Nataša Pirc Musar shifted the process to parliament, opening the door for Janez Janša to lead centre-right talks. Key smaller parties, including the nine-seat Christian democratic alliance of NSi, SLS and Fokus plus the six-seat Democrats led by Anže Logar, now hold pivotal negotiating leverage in discussions over ministry allocations and policy priorities. Traders are monitoring these fluid coalition-building efforts and any emerging majority agreements that would determine which parties ultimately enter the next government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
音量
$231,175終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a fragmented National Assembly, with the incumbent Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and the Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc with a clear path to the 46-seat majority required for government formation. After Prime Minister Robert Golob conceded he could not assemble a coalition, President Nataša Pirc Musar shifted the process to parliament, opening the door for Janez Janša to lead centre-right talks. Key smaller parties, including the nine-seat Christian democratic alliance of NSi, SLS and Fokus plus the six-seat Democrats led by Anže Logar, now hold pivotal negotiating leverage in discussions over ministry allocations and policy priorities. Traders are monitoring these fluid coalition-building efforts and any emerging majority agreements that would determine which parties ultimately enter the next government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
音量
$231,175終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a fragmented National Assembly, with the incumbent Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and the Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc with a clear path to the 46-seat majority required for government formation. After Prime Minister Robert Golob conceded he could not assemble a coalition, President Nataša Pirc Musar shifted the process to parliament, opening the door for Janez Janša to lead centre-right talks. Key smaller parties, including the nine-seat Christian democratic alliance of NSi, SLS and Fokus plus the six-seat Democrats led by Anže Logar, now hold pivotal negotiating leverage in discussions over ministry allocations and policy priorities. Traders are monitoring these fluid coalition-building efforts and any emerging majority agreements that would determine which parties ultimately enter the next government.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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