Trump’s short list for the next Supreme Court vacancy features several circuit judges appointed during his first term, with James Ho, Aileen Cannon, Andrew Oldham, and Gregory Katsas among the leading names in trader pricing. No seat is currently vacant, though reports have referenced possible retirements such as Justice Alito’s, keeping probabilities dispersed as the White House maintains a broad, pre-vetted roster rather than signaling a frontrunner. Recent lower-court nomination activity and midterm pressure on Senate control add uncertainty around confirmation timelines, while Trump’s public criticism of some prior appointees underscores the emphasis on demonstrated alignment. These factors sustain a tight field where small shifts in administration signaling or vacancy timing could quickly reorder the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日次のトランプ政権は誰をスコタス・ジャスティスに指名しますか？
次のトランプ政権は誰をスコタス・ジャスティスに指名しますか？
ジェームズ・ホー 19%
アンドリュー・オルダム 13%
グレゴリー・カツァス 10.6%
アムル・タパール 10%
新規
新規
2029/01/19
ジェームズ・ホー
19%
アンドリュー・オルダム
13%
グレゴリー・カツァス
11%
アムル・タパール
10%
パトリック・ブマタイ
9%
スティーブン・メナシ
8%
ネオミ・ラオ
7%
アイリーン・キャノン
17%
ジョン・サウアー
6%
マイク・リー
6%
テッド・クルーズ
13%
ジェームズ・ホー 19%
アンドリュー・オルダム 13%
グレゴリー・カツァス 10.6%
アムル・タパール 10%
新規
新規
2029/01/19
ジェームズ・ホー
$645 Vol.
19%
アンドリュー・オルダム
$638 Vol.
13%
グレゴリー・カツァス
$175 Vol.
11%
アムル・タパール
$944 Vol.
10%
パトリック・ブマタイ
$1,604 Vol.
9%
スティーブン・メナシ
$105 Vol.
8%
ネオミ・ラオ
$109 Vol.
7%
アイリーン・キャノン
$346 Vol.
17%
ジョン・サウアー
$121 Vol.
6%
マイク・リー
$125 Vol.
6%
テッド・クルーズ
$160 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump’s short list for the next Supreme Court vacancy features several circuit judges appointed during his first term, with James Ho, Aileen Cannon, Andrew Oldham, and Gregory Katsas among the leading names in trader pricing. No seat is currently vacant, though reports have referenced possible retirements such as Justice Alito’s, keeping probabilities dispersed as the White House maintains a broad, pre-vetted roster rather than signaling a frontrunner. Recent lower-court nomination activity and midterm pressure on Senate control add uncertainty around confirmation timelines, while Trump’s public criticism of some prior appointees underscores the emphasis on demonstrated alignment. These factors sustain a tight field where small shifts in administration signaling or vacancy timing could quickly reorder the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
音量
$4,971終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump’s short list for the next Supreme Court vacancy features several circuit judges appointed during his first term, with James Ho, Aileen Cannon, Andrew Oldham, and Gregory Katsas among the leading names in trader pricing. No seat is currently vacant, though reports have referenced possible retirements such as Justice Alito’s, keeping probabilities dispersed as the White House maintains a broad, pre-vetted roster rather than signaling a frontrunner. Recent lower-court nomination activity and midterm pressure on Senate control add uncertainty around confirmation timelines, while Trump’s public criticism of some prior appointees underscores the emphasis on demonstrated alignment. These factors sustain a tight field where small shifts in administration signaling or vacancy timing could quickly reorder the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,971終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s short list for the next Supreme Court vacancy features several circuit judges appointed during his first term, with James Ho, Aileen Cannon, Andrew Oldham, and Gregory Katsas among the leading names in trader pricing. No seat is currently vacant, though reports have referenced possible retirements such as Justice Alito’s, keeping probabilities dispersed as the White House maintains a broad, pre-vetted roster rather than signaling a frontrunner. Recent lower-court nomination activity and midterm pressure on Senate control add uncertainty around confirmation timelines, while Trump’s public criticism of some prior appointees underscores the emphasis on demonstrated alignment. These factors sustain a tight field where small shifts in administration signaling or vacancy timing could quickly reorder the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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