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icon for 2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?

2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?

icon for 2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?

2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?

32% 確率
Polymarket

$54,816 Vol.

32% 確率
Polymarket

$54,816 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pre-tournament betting markets and simulations highlight the exceptional squad depth and recent success of prior winners such as Spain, France, England, Brazil, and Argentina, who consistently rank at the top of global rankings and hold the shortest outright odds. These sides benefit from experienced coaches, star players in peak form, and proven knockout pedigrees, while first-time contenders like Portugal or the Netherlands remain a clear tier behind despite strong recent results. The expanded 48-team format increases upset potential in early rounds, yet the historical pattern of dominance by established powers and limited depth among emerging nations supports traders pricing a repeat winner as the more probable outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$54,816
終了日
2026/07/20
マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pre-tournament betting markets and simulations highlight the exceptional squad depth and recent success of prior winners such as Spain, France, England, Brazil, and Argentina, who consistently rank at the top of global rankings and hold the shortest outright odds. These sides benefit from experienced coaches, star players in peak form, and proven knockout pedigrees, while first-time contenders like Portugal or the Netherlands remain a clear tier behind despite strong recent results. The expanded 48-team format increases upset potential in early rounds, yet the historical pattern of dominance by established powers and limited depth among emerging nations supports traders pricing a repeat winner as the more probable outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$54,816
終了日
2026/07/20
マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して32%です。例えば、「はい」が32¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を32%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?」は$54.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して32%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を32%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「2026年にワールドカップに勝ったことのない国が勝つのでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。