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icon for オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？
スポーツ·カウンターストライク2

オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？

icon for オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？
スポーツ·カウンターストライク2

オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？

13% 確率
Polymarket
新規
13% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Aurora CS2 making a roster change before July, reflecting the Serbian organization's lineup stability since acquiring the core Eternal Fire roster in April 2025, bolstered by soulfly's addition last December. World #6-ranked Aurora has shown competitive form, securing 5-8th at PGL Astana 2026 with 2-0 wins over The MongolZ, PARIVISION, and The Huns despite losses to MOUZ and HEROIC, and similar 7-8th finishes at IEM Rio. Late-April rumors of international pursuits like kyxsan or AleksiB were dismissed by MAJ3R on May 11, emphasizing focus on the present amid a 58% three-month win rate, reducing urgency for midseason shakeups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$110
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% implied probability for Aurora CS2 making a roster change before July, reflecting the Serbian organization's lineup stability since acquiring the core Eternal Fire roster in April 2025, bolstered by soulfly's addition last December. World #6-ranked Aurora has shown competitive form, securing 5-8th at PGL Astana 2026 with 2-0 wins over The MongolZ, PARIVISION, and The Huns despite losses to MOUZ and HEROIC, and similar 7-8th finishes at IEM Rio. Late-April rumors of international pursuits like kyxsan or AleksiB were dismissed by MAJ3R on May 11, emphasizing focus on the present amid a 58% three-month win rate, reducing urgency for midseason shakeups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$110
終了日
2026/07/01
マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して13%です。例えば、「はい」が13¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を13%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 8, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して13%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を13%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「オーロラは7月までに選手名簿を変更しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。