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世界·文化

ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？

icon for ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？
世界·文化

ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？

はい

95% 確率
Polymarket

$103,760 Vol.

はい

95% 確率
Polymarket

$103,760 Vol.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Argentina's inclusion of Lionel Messi in its 55-man preliminary roster for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, released this month, has reinforced trader confidence that the Inter Miami star will feature. At 38, Messi remains a regular starter for both club and country, posting strong MLS numbers while repeatedly signaling he will participate if fully fit. Coach Lionel Scaloni has deferred the final call to the player but has shown no inclination to exclude him, aligning with historical patterns where Argentina prioritizes its captain. The market-implied probability near 95% reflects this momentum, though a late fitness setback or unexpected retirement announcement could still open the door to an upset.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$103,760
終了日
2026/07/19
マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Argentina's inclusion of Lionel Messi in its 55-man preliminary roster for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, released this month, has reinforced trader confidence that the Inter Miami star will feature. At 38, Messi remains a regular starter for both club and country, posting strong MLS numbers while repeatedly signaling he will participate if fully fit. Coach Lionel Scaloni has deferred the final call to the player but has shown no inclination to exclude him, aligning with historical patterns where Argentina prioritizes its captain. The market-implied probability near 95% reflects this momentum, though a late fitness setback or unexpected retirement announcement could still open the door to an upset.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$103,760
終了日
2026/07/19
マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リオネル・メッシは2026年FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」で95%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」は$103.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 7, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「リオネル・メッシは2026年FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ライオネル・メッシは2026 FIFAワールドカップに出場しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。