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icon for マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?

マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?

icon for マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?

マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?

50% 確率
Polymarket
新規
50% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$0
終了日
2026/06/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".

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よくある質問

「マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して50%です。例えば、「はい」が50¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を50%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して50%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を50%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「マムダニはニックスのパレードのために木曜日の授業をキャンセルしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。