President Trump's pattern of incorporating personal insults into public remarks, press interactions, and social media posts has shaped trader views on markets tied to specific dates. As of early June 2026, he has continued this approach during gaggles with reporters, references to Democrats as "Dumocrats," and commentary on foreign policy developments involving Iran and Israel. Ongoing legislative activity on immigration enforcement and scheduled public appearances provide regular opportunities for statements that meet resolution criteria. Historical frequency of such rhetoric in his second term informs assessments of near-term likelihood, while any shift toward more measured language or absence of high-profile events could alter outcomes within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$448,475 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月18日
93%
6月25日
93%
6月27日
92%
6月10日
92%
6月11日
94%
6月12日
93%
6月13日
93%
6月14日
93%
6月15日
92%
6月16日
92%
6月17日
93%
6月19日
92%
6月20日
92%
6月21日
92%
6月22日
91%
6月23日
91%
6月24日
91%
6月26日
91%
6月28日
92%
6月29日
92%
6月30日
91%
$448,475 Vol.
6月18日
$1,521 Vol.
93%
6月25日
$135 Vol.
93%
6月27日
$140 Vol.
92%
6月10日
$12,557 Vol.
92%
6月11日
$4,015 Vol.
94%
6月12日
$3,480 Vol.
93%
6月13日
$1,660 Vol.
93%
6月14日
$1,406 Vol.
93%
6月15日
$2,835 Vol.
92%
6月16日
$284 Vol.
92%
6月17日
$813 Vol.
93%
6月19日
$232 Vol.
92%
6月20日
$190 Vol.
92%
6月21日
$2,235 Vol.
92%
6月22日
$322 Vol.
91%
6月23日
$149 Vol.
91%
6月24日
$179 Vol.
91%
6月26日
$207 Vol.
91%
6月28日
$768 Vol.
92%
6月29日
$1,328 Vol.
92%
6月30日
$173 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of incorporating personal insults into public remarks, press interactions, and social media posts has shaped trader views on markets tied to specific dates. As of early June 2026, he has continued this approach during gaggles with reporters, references to Democrats as "Dumocrats," and commentary on foreign policy developments involving Iran and Israel. Ongoing legislative activity on immigration enforcement and scheduled public appearances provide regular opportunities for statements that meet resolution criteria. Historical frequency of such rhetoric in his second term informs assessments of near-term likelihood, while any shift toward more measured language or absence of high-profile events could alter outcomes within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
音量
$448,475終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's pattern of incorporating personal insults into public remarks, press interactions, and social media posts has shaped trader views on markets tied to specific dates. As of early June 2026, he has continued this approach during gaggles with reporters, references to Democrats as "Dumocrats," and commentary on foreign policy developments involving Iran and Israel. Ongoing legislative activity on immigration enforcement and scheduled public appearances provide regular opportunities for statements that meet resolution criteria. Historical frequency of such rhetoric in his second term informs assessments of near-term likelihood, while any shift toward more measured language or absence of high-profile events could alter outcomes within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$448,475終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's pattern of incorporating personal insults into public remarks, press interactions, and social media posts has shaped trader views on markets tied to specific dates. As of early June 2026, he has continued this approach during gaggles with reporters, references to Democrats as "Dumocrats," and commentary on foreign policy developments involving Iran and Israel. Ongoing legislative activity on immigration enforcement and scheduled public appearances provide regular opportunities for statements that meet resolution criteria. Historical frequency of such rhetoric in his second term informs assessments of near-term likelihood, while any shift toward more measured language or absence of high-profile events could alter outcomes within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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